Here's an informative outlook from CNBC's Mark Koba, follow him on Twitter @MarkKobaCNBC.
This article will give you an actual idea on what's really going on in the overall job market:
Labor outlook: 'It's just a very tough job market'
Millions
of Americans are off from work this Labor Day. But millions of others
are off nearly every day because they have no job, or have given up
looking for one. "It's just a very tough job market now. There's no
other way of putting it," said Daniel Opler, professor of history and a
labor expert at the College of Mount St.Vincent. "And the least skilled
are in the toughest spot. It's a daunting task to find a job these
days," he said.
According
to a survey released last month by recruiting firm Express Employment
Professionals, using Bureau of Labor Statistics data and its own
findings, the number of Americans in the labor force, or those working or
seeking a job, is at a 35-year low of 63.4 percent. That translates
into some 89.9 million Americans who are not working or seeking work.
This
number might seem like a contradiction to the falling overall
unemployment rate, from a high of 10 percent in October 2009 to a recent
7.4 percent in July. But a big part of the decline is
likely due to the millions who have taken themselves out of the job
market, said Bob Funk, CEO of Express Employment.
"It's a
tragedy so many people have given up looking for work, " he said. "It's
older people and younger people that have in essence just thrown in the
towel." That's not to say there aren't jobs, said Funk, whose company's
survey cited hard-to-fill positions like welders, machinists,
engineers, IT professionals and even accountants and office managers.
"There's
a skills gap for many people," he said. "We have hundreds of job
openings but we can't find the people to fill them. They just don't have
the training." "We're finding even at entry levels, there's a mismatch
of skills out there," said Sandy Mazur, a division president of staffing
firm Spherion. "I think we have to do more with training issues," she
said. "It's becoming more difficult to find people with the right skills
employers want." Trained or not, those still looking for a job often
find the competition fierce.
"People
are beating down our doors to get jobs," said Bryan Scott, owner of
Barn Light Electric, a porcelain light manufacturing firm in Titusville,
Fla. "With the cutbacks in the nearby Kennedy Space Center, we get 10
to 15 people a day walking in to fill out job applications," said Scott,
who employs 100 workers and started his business in 2008, after working
25 years in law enforcement.
"People
are hungry for work. We've hired those right out of high school and
college grads and former space workers. A man who was a coal miner for
30 years is now head of our manufacturing," he said. "Our
turnover is low, especially for workers with families," Scott added.
"They know they have to pay their bills, and we do our best to give them
good working wages. Fortunately, our business has been growing so we
can do that."
But
having a job has failed to guarantee a living wage for those who feel
trapped in conditions that offer little in pay and benefits. "I
can't get any other job right now," said 53-year-old Melissa Roseboro,
who was part of a day-long walkout for higher pay in May at the
McDonald's she works at in Washington. And I can't support myself and my three kids on $8.33 an hour, which is what I'm making," said Roseboro. "I
don't have enough money to cover my food and rent. I have to bring home
food that they give us from work," she added. "And I can only work 35
hours a week. They won't let me work more than that."
Jobs like Roseboro's are the backbone of whatever job recovery there is, according to the National Employment Law Project. A
report from the organization says that 58 percent of the jobs recovered
from the recession are for low-wage positions that offer few if any
benefits and have annual earnings below the poverty line for a family of
four.
According
to a report from Economic Policy Institute, weak wage growth between
2000 and 2007, combined with wage losses for most workers since then,
has left 60 percent of working Americans earning less now than 13 years
ago. "We're used to wages going up over time, but that isn't happening
now," said Peter McHenry, a professor of labor economics at the College
of William and Mary.
"Keeping
wages low may make it cheaper for firms to hire, but it doesn't help
households survive financially," he said. "It was strong unions in the
past that helped workers get better pay," said Opler. "But unions are
much weaker now, and any kind of movement for better pay has to come
from the workers themselves, as we're seeing with the fast food
walkouts."
Remedies
given to improve the job picture follow a somewhat complicated path.
"We've got to change our educational system," said Express Employment's
Funk. "They have to wake up and realize the skills are not there. They
need to be more flexible and realize other countries are ahead of us
when it comes to educating their workforce."
"Businesses
are nervous and, there's some validity to their lack of confidence in
the economy and why they're not hiring, " said McHenry. "They're worried
about political economic fights in Washington and constant threats to
shut down the government and all the regulations they face," he added.
It might even take improvements overseas to make things better at home,
McHenry said.
"Europe's
got economic troubles and China's growth has slowed, so markets for our
products and services are at risk," he said. "That puts our job growth
at risk, too." Spherion's Mazur said the current workforce
could determine what lies ahead for those seeking jobs. "Consumer
spending is key going forward," she said. "What happens in retail will
be telling as to what happens in the job market."
Opler
said the spotlight should shift from just creating jobs to focusing on
the quality of jobs workers can get. "We have to seriously think about
what we mean by having an acceptable job," the history professor said.
"Fast food jobs can't support a family. We need to get people trained
for good jobs with good wages, and that may take an economic plan like
we had after World War II for Europe. We could use one here," Opler
said.
Getting
the government to provide more stimulus for a jobs plan is highly
unlikely, some analysts say. So for now and the immediate future, they
say, it's more or less a matter of riding out the storm. "I don't see a
magic bullet to fix this, but I'm optimistic it will get better," said
McHenry. "It's common to have a long recovery time after a recession." "People
are trying to pay down their debt, which is a good thing. When that
eases up, there will be more spending and probably more job creation,"
he said.
"Things
will get better, but I don't think we'll ever see 4-5 percent
unemployment again," said Opler. "The way the economy and Washington
politics are these days, it's just not going to happen."